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Q.

25% of the population are smokers. A smoker has 27 times more chances to develop lung cancer than a non-smoker. A person is diagnosed with lung cancer and the probability that this person is a smoker is  k10 then the value of k=___

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answer is 9.

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Detailed Solution

Let events
E1 : Selected person smoker 
E2 : Selected person  non smoker
E: Selected person is diagnosed with lung cancer.
P(E1)=14,P(E2)=34,P(E/E1)=2728andP(E/E2)=128

P(E/E1)=P(E1)P(E/E1)p(E)

=14×272814×2728+34×128=2790=910=k10  (given)

k=9

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25% of the population are smokers. A smoker has 27 times more chances to develop lung cancer than a non-smoker. A person is diagnosed with lung cancer and the probability that this person is a smoker is  k10 then the value of k=___