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Q.

25% of the population are smokers.  A smokers has 27 times more chances to develop lung cancer than a
non smoker. A person is diagnosed with lung cancer and the probability that this person is a smoker is
k/10 . Then the value of k is …………….. 

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answer is 9.

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Detailed Solution

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Probability of a person being smoker P(S)=25/100=1/4
Probability of a person being non smokes P(S¯)=11/4=3/4
Probability of anon smoker diagnosed with cancer P(C/S¯)=P
Probability of a smoker diagnosed with cancer P(C/S)=27P


P Person is smo ker  P erson diagnosed with cancer =PSC=P(SC)P(C)


P(S)PCSP(S)PCS+P(S¯)PCS¯=1427P1427P+34P=P427P4(27+3)=2730=910

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