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Q.

A bag contains some white and some black balls, all combinations of balls being equally likely. The total number of balls in the bag is 10. If three balls are drawn at random without replacement and all of them are found to be black, the probability that the bag contains 1 white and 9 black balls is 

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a

8/55 

b

12/55  

c

14/55 

d

2/11 

answer is A.

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Detailed Solution

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Let Ei denote the event that the bag contains i black and (10 - i) white balls (i = 0, l, 2, ... , 10). Let A denote the event that the three balls drawn at random from the bag are black. We have  

PEi=111(i=0,1,2,,10)

PA/Ei=0 for i=0,1,2 

and PA/Ei= iC3 10C3 for i3 

Now, by the total probability rule

P(A)=111×1 10C2 3C3+4C3++10C3

But  3C3+4C3+5C3++10C3

=4C4+4C3+5C3++10C3

=5C4+5C3+6C3++10C3

==11C4

  Required probability =PE9A=PE9PA/E9P(A)

=111× 9C3 10C3111× 11C4 10C3=1455

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