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Q.

A box contains N coins, m of which is fair and the rest are biased. The probability of getting a head when a fair coin is tossed is 12, while it is 23 when a biased coin is tossed. A coin is drawn from the box at random and is tossed twice. Then the probability that the coin drawn is fair, when first toss head, second toss tail is

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a

9m8N+m

b

9m8Nm

c

9m8mN

d

9m8m+N

answer is A.

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Detailed Solution

Box contains m fair coins, N-m biased coins

F= Event of selecting a fair coin

B= Event of selecting a biased coin

P(F)=mN,P(B)=N-mN 
For a fair coin P(H/F)=P(T/F)=12for biased coin P(H/B)=23,P(T/B)=13Let A1 = event of drawing biased fair coin And A2 = event of drawing biased coin
Let E = event of getting head on 1st toss, tails on 2nd toss Using Baye’s Theorem PA1E=mN×12×12mN×12×12+N-mN23×13= PA1E=9m9m+8(N-m) PA1E=9mm+8N

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