Q.

A purse contains 2 six sided dice. One is a normal fair die, while the other has 2 ones, 2 threes and 2 fives. A die is picked up and rolled. Because of some secret magnetic attraction of the unfair die, there is 75% chance of picking the unfair die and 25% chance of picking a fair fie. The die is rolled
and shown up the face 3. The probability that a fair die was picked up, is

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a

1/4

b

1/6

c

1/7

d

1/24

answer is A.

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Detailed Solution

 

P(N)=P(Normal  die)=25100=14

 

P(B)=P(baised die)=75100=34

E= getting 3

P(E/N)=1/6,P(E/B)=2/6=1/3

P(N/E)=P(N)P(E/N)P(N)P(E/N)+P(B)P(E/B)

Using Baye’s theorem,PN/E=14161416+3413=17

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