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Q.

A ship is fitted with three engines E1,E2 and E3. The engines function independently of each other with respective probabilities  12,14 and  14. For the ship to be operational at least two of its engines must function. Let  X denote the event that the ship is operational and let  X1,X2 and X3 denotes respectively the events that the engines  E1,E2 and E3 are functioning. Which of the following is (are) true?

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a

P[Exactly two engines of the ship are functioning | X] =78   

b

P[X1C|X]=316

c

P[X|X2]=516

d

P[X|X1]=716

answer is B, D.

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Detailed Solution

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A)  P[X1C|X]=P(X¯1X)P(X)=(12)(14)(14)12.14.14+12.14.14+12.34.14+12.14.34=18

 B) Required probability =  P[X1C|X]=P(X¯1X)P(X)=32.4.4+32.4.4+12.4.412.14.34+12.34.14+12.14.14+12.14.14=78

C) P[X|X2]=P(XX2)P(X2)=(14)[12.14+12.34+(12)(14)](14)=14.5814=58 D)  P(XX1)P(X1)=(12)[14.14+34.14+14.34]12=716

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