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Q.

A bag A contains 2 white and 3 red balls and bag B contains 4 white and 5 red balls. One ball is drawn at random from a randomly chosen bag and is found to be red. The probability that it was drawn from B is 

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a

518

b

2552

c

514

d

516

answer is D.

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Detailed Solution

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Let E1be the event that the ball is drawn from bag A,E2 the event that it is drawn from bag B and E that the ball is red. 

We have to find PE2/E.

Since both the bags are equally likely to be selected, 

We have PE1=PE2=12

Also PE/E1=3/5 and PE/E2=5/9.

Hence by Baye's theorem, we have

PE2/E=PE2PE/E2PE1PE/E1+PE2PE/E2=12591235+1259=2552.

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