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Q.

Assume that in a family, each child is equally likely to be a boy or a girl. A family with three children is chosen at random. The probability that the eldest child is a girl given that the family has at least one girl is

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a

1/3

b

2/3

c

4/7

d

1/2

answer is D.

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Detailed Solution

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We have, 
S = {B, B, B),(G, G, G),(B, G, G), (G, B, G),(G, G, B),(G, B, B),(B, G, B),(B, B, G)} 
E1 = Event that a family has at least one girl, then
E1 = {(G, B, B),(B, G, B),(B, B, G),(G, G, B),(B, G, G),(G, B, G),(G, G, G)}
E2 = Event that the eldest child is a girl, then
E2 = {(G, B, B),(G, G, B),(G, B, G),(G, G, G)}
E1E2={(G,B,B),(G,G,B),(G,B,G),PE2E1=PE1E2PE1=4878=47

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