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Q.

Bag A contains 4 red and 3 green balls and B contains 3 red and 4 green balls. One bag is taken at random and ball is drawn and noted to be green. The probability that it comes from bag B is ____

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a

421

b

37

c

27

d

47

answer is C.

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Detailed Solution

P(A)=P(B)=12        P(G/A)=37,    P(G/B)=47

From Baye’s theorem

P(B/G)=P(B)P(G/B)P(A)P(G/A)+P(B)P(G/B)=12.4712.37+12.47=47

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