Q.

Each of the ‘n’ urns contains four white and six black balls. The (n + 1)th urn contains five white and five black balls. One of the (n + 1) urns is chosen at random and two balls are drawn from it without replacement. Both the balls turn out to be black. if the probability that the (n + 1)th urn was chosen to draw the balls is 1/16,then the value of n/5 is ____

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answer is 2.

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Detailed Solution

Let E1 denote the event that one of the first "n" urns is chosen and

 E2denote the event that (n +1)th urn is selected.
A denotes the event that two balls drawn are black, then
pE1=nn+1,pE2=1n+1pAE1= 6C2 10C2=13&PAE2= 5C2 10C2=29
The probability that the (n + 1)th urn was chosen to draw the balls is 1/16,

Using Bayes theorem
116=1n+129nn+113+1n+129 116=23n+2 3n+2=323n=30 n=10n5=2

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