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Q.

For K=1,2,3 the box Bk contains k red balls  and k+1 white balls. Let PB1=12,PB2=13 and PB3=16. A box is selected at random and a ball is drawn from it. If a red ball is drawn, the probability that it has come from box B2is

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a

1439

b

1013

c

1213

d

3578

answer is B.

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Detailed Solution

The bag B1 contains 1 red balls 2 white balls, so that PRB1=13

The bag B2 contains 2 red balls and 3 white balls, so that PRB2=25

The bag B3 contains 3 red balls and 4 white balls, so that PRB3=37

Hence, by Bayees Theorem 

PB2R=PRB2PB2PRB1PB1+PRB2PB2+PRB3PB3 =25·1313·12+25·13+37·16 =21516+215+342 =2·1435+28+15 =2878 =1439

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