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Q.

If X is a Poisson variable representing number of successes in 50 trials such that 

2PX=1=5PX=5+2PX=3 then the probability of getting success in one trail is

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a

2e-2

b

0.03

c

0.04

d

0.05

answer is C.

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Detailed Solution

Given X follows Poisson distribution 

Now λ=np

         λ=50p

Given that 2P(x=1)=5P(x=5)+2P(x=3)

 2.e-λ.λ11!=5.e-λ.λ55!+2.e-λ.λ33!  e-λ(2λ)=e-λ 5.λ55×4!+2.λ33×2×1  2λ=λ524+λ33  2λ=λλ4+8λ224

 2×24=λ4+8λ2  λ4+8λ2-48=0  λ4+12λ2-4λ2-48=0  λ2(λ2+12)-4(λ2+12)=0  (λ2-4) (λ2+12)=0  λ2=4   ( λ2+120)  λ=4=2

Since λ=50p  p=250=0.04

 Probability of getting Success in one trail =0.04

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