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Q.

In a precision bombing attack ,there is a 50%chance that any one bomb will strike the target. Two direct hits are required to destroy the target completely. The number of bombs which should be dropped to give a 99% chance or better of completely destroying the target can be

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a

12

b

11

c

10

d

13

answer is A.

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Detailed Solution

We have, the probability that the bomb strikes the target is p = 1/2. 
Let n be the number of bombs which should be dropped to ensure 99% chance or better of completely destroying the target. 
Then, the probability that out of n bombs at least two bombs strike the target is greater than 0.99. 
Let X denote the number of bombs striking the target. Then

P(X=r)=nCr12r12nr=nCr12n,r=0,1,2,,n

We should have

P(X2)0.99{1P(X<2)}0.991{P(X=0)+P(X=1)}0.991(1+n)12n0.990.0011+n2n2n>100+100nn11

Thus the minimum number of bombs is 11.

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