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Q.

Sixteen players  P1,P2,.........,P16 play in a tournament. They are divided into eight pairs at random. From each pair a winner is decided on the basis of a game played between the two players of the pair. Assuming that all the players are of equal strength, the probability that exactly one of the two players  P1 and P2  is among the eight winners is  

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a

17/30

b

4/15

c

7/15

d

8/15

answer is C.

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Detailed Solution

Let E1(E2) denote the event that  P1 and P2  are paired (not paired) together and let A denote the event that one of two players  P1 and P2  is among the winners.
Since,  P1 can be paired with any of the remaining 15 players.
We have,  P(E1)=115
And  P(E2)=1P(E1)=1115=1415
In case  E1 occurs, it is certain that one of  P1 and P2   will be among the winners. In case E2  occurs, the probability that exactly one of  P1 and P2   is among the winners is
P{(P1P2¯)(P1¯P2)}=P(P1P2¯)+P(P1¯P2)

=(12)(112)+(112)(12)=14+14=12

i.e,  P(A/E1)=1 and  P(A/E2)=12
By the total probability Rule,  P(A)=P(E1).P(AE1)+P(E2).P(AE2)
=115(1)+1415(12)=815

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Sixteen players  P1,P2,.........,P16 play in a tournament. They are divided into eight pairs at random. From each pair a winner is decided on the basis of a game played between the two players of the pair. Assuming that all the players are of equal strength, the probability that exactly one of the two players  P1 and P2  is among the eight winners is