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Q.

There are bags B1,B2 and B3. The bag B1  contains 5 red and 5 green balls, B2  contains 3 red 5 green balls, and B3  contains 5 red and 3 green balls, Bags B1,B2 and B3 have probabilities 310,310and 410respectively of being chosen. A bag is selected at random and a balls is chosen at random from the bag. Then which of the following options is/are correct?

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a

Probability that the chosen balls is green equals 3980

b

Probability that the selected bag is B3 given that the chosen ball is green, equals 513

c

Probability that the chosen ball is green, given that the selected bag is B3  equals38

d

Probability that the selected bag is B3  and the chosen ball is green equals 310

answer is A, C.

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Detailed Solution

Bi= Event for choosing bag Bi,i=1,2,3·G= Event for choosing a green ball. 

P(G)=PB1PGB1+PB2PGB2+PB3PGB3=310×510+310×58+410×38=320+316+320=3980 Option 1 correct 

PB3G=PB3GP(G)=410×383980=413 option 2 incorrect PGB3=38 option 3 is correct PB3G=PB3·PGR=410×38=320 option 4 incorrect 

 

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